Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Degerfors IF
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
22%
2
25%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Malmo FF (Home)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%
Degerfors IF (Away)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Malmo FF
DWWWD
Degerfors IF
LLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
81%
+0.5
65%
50%
+1.5
47%
31%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
6%
56%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
Malmo FF averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Degerfors IF averages 1.53 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Malmo FF(A)
1 - 0
Degerfors IF
Home
Aug 2025
Malmo FF
1 - 1
Degerfors IF
Draw
May 2025
Malmo FF(A)
4 - 1
Degerfors IF
Home
Sep 2023
Malmo FF(A)
2 - 1
Degerfors IF
Home
Jun 2023
Malmo FF
5 - 0
Degerfors IF
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Malmo FF won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)2
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)4
Degerfors IF — winless run (away)2
Degerfors IF — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Malmo FF Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Degerfors IF Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
81%
+0.5
65%
50%
+1.5
47%
31%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
19%
-0.5
35%
50%
-1.5
53%
69%
-2.5
76%
94%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
94%
Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Malmo FF — scored (home)1.69
Malmo FF — conceded (home)1
Degerfors IF — scored (away)1.53
Degerfors IF — conceded (away)2.12
Model expected combined goals3.17
Both Teams To Score
Yes61%
No39%
Rate per Team
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)56%
Degerfors IF — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Malmo FF (home)
Corners for7.3
Corners against3.0
Degerfors IF (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against7.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Malmo FF
6
9
12
16
7
Degerfors IF
24
11
15
8
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Malmo FF (home)
For1.9
Degerfors IF (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.81
Malmo FF
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.50
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.10
Degerfors IF
Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.31
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.49
Shots per Game
Malmo FF — total shots (home)18.1
Degerfors IF — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
Malmo FF — on target (home)5.6
Degerfors IF — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Malmo FF
Inside the box9.95
Outside the box5.2
Degerfors IF
Inside the box8.15
Outside the box4.8
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF xG (home)1.87
Degerfors IF xG (away)1.53
Average Possession
58.95%
Possession
44.85%
Team Comparison Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
84.8%
Pass accuracy
77.25%
533.15
Passes per match
367.55
0
Goals prevented
0
11.65
Fouls committed
13.25
1.85
Goalkeeper saves
2.9
1.15
Offsides
1.67
League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF prediction analysis
Review Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Allsvenskan.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Allsvenskan
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights