Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb

Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-10-23 19:00
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
25%
2
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Dinamo Zagreb (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match2.2
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
LLLLL
Dinamo Zagreb
DLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 60%
20% +1.5 40%
20% +2.5 40%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 1 goals scored at home, while Dinamo Zagreb averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Malmo FF 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Malmo FF won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)0
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)0
Dinamo Zagreb — winless run (away)4
Dinamo Zagreb — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Dinamo Zagreb Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 60%
20% +1.5 40%
20% +2.5 40%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 40%
80% -1.5 60%
80% -2.5 60%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)1
Malmo FF — conceded (home)1
Dinamo Zagreb — scored (away)1.4
Dinamo Zagreb — conceded (away)2.2
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)40%
Dinamo Zagreb — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.0

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
6 7 5 10 14
Dinamo Zagreb
9 10 10 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For2.0

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)8.8
Dinamo Zagreb — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)2.8
Dinamo Zagreb — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box4.25
Outside the box2.75

Dinamo Zagreb

Inside the box6.3
Outside the box4.7

Player Shots Malmo FF

H. Bolin
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Rosengren
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Christiansen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Hakšabanović
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Ali
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Dinamo Zagreb

D. Beljo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target50%
M. Bakrar
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Stojković
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Hoxha
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)0.61
Dinamo Zagreb xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

43% Possession 49.9%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb

79.25% Pass accuracy 82.3%
406.5 Passes per match 493.5
0.19 Goals prevented -0.05
12.4 Fouls committed 10.3
4.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
1.13 Offsides 1.6
11.75 Tackles per match 18.8

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs Dinamo Zagreb with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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