Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs FC Copenhagen

Malmo FF vs FC Copenhagen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-05 17:00
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
FC Copenhagen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
25%
2
14%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match0.33
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%

FC Copenhagen (Away)

Goals scored / match0.86
Goals conceded / match1.86
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
LDWWW
FC Copenhagen
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 57%
33% +1.5 14%
33% +2.5 14%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 1.33 goals scored at home, while FC Copenhagen averages 0.86 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
25%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2025 Malmo FF(A) 0 - 5 FC Copenhagen Away
Aug 2025 Malmo FF 0 - 0 FC Copenhagen Draw
Dec 2019 Malmo FF(A) 1 - 0 FC Copenhagen Home
Oct 2019 Malmo FF 1 - 1 FC Copenhagen Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Malmo FF won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)3
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)0
FC Copenhagen — winless run (away)1
FC Copenhagen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)62%
Draw (X)25%
FC Copenhagen Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 57%
33% +1.5 14%
33% +2.5 14%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 43%
67% -1.5 86%
67% -2.5 86%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Malmo FF vs FC Copenhagen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)1.33
Malmo FF — conceded (home)0.33
FC Copenhagen — scored (away)0.86
FC Copenhagen — conceded (away)1.86
Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)33%
FC Copenhagen — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.536%
Under 7.564%
Over 8.529%
Under 8.571%
Over 9.522%
Under 9.578%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for0.0
Corners against7.0

FC Copenhagen (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
0 7 3
FC Copenhagen
9 5 10 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For1.0

FC Copenhagen (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)4.0
FC Copenhagen — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)0.0
FC Copenhagen — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box4
Outside the box1.5

FC Copenhagen

Inside the box6.64
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Malmo FF

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots FC Copenhagen

M. Mattsson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
V. Dadason
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Robert
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Y. Moukoko
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)0
FC Copenhagen xG (away)1.39

Average Possession

49% Possession 46.14%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs FC Copenhagen

85% Pass accuracy 80.36%
490 Passes per match 415.21
0 Goals prevented 0.27
6.5 Fouls committed 14.93
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.07
1 Offsides 2
9.5 Tackles per match 16.93

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs FC Copenhagen prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs FC Copenhagen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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