Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs Galatasaray

Malmo FF vs Galatasaray prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-12-12 17:45
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Galatasaray
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
23%
2
41%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Galatasaray (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match2.2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
DLDLL
Galatasaray
DLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 40%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 1 goals scored at home, while Galatasaray averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
23%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2024 Malmo FF 2 - 2 Galatasaray Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Malmo FF won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)0
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)2
Galatasaray — winless run (away)5
Galatasaray — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)36%
Draw (X)23%
Galatasaray Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 40%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 60%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Malmo FF vs Galatasaray — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)1
Malmo FF — conceded (home)2
Galatasaray — scored (away)1.4
Galatasaray — conceded (away)2.2
Model expected combined goals3.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)50%
Galatasaray — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.0

Galatasaray (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
5 4 10 16 12
Galatasaray
10 11 12 8 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For3.3

Galatasaray (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)13.8
Galatasaray — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)2.5
Galatasaray — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.75
Outside the box4.38

Galatasaray

Inside the box14.2
Outside the box5.8

Player Shots Malmo FF

H. Bolin
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Botheim
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
I. Kiese Thelin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Ali
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Johnsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen
Shots on Target/Game3.4
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target100%
M. Icardi
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. Demir
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
D. Mertens
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Akgün
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target63%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)1.5
Galatasaray xG (away)2.17

Average Possession

53% Possession 58.1%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs Galatasaray

80.5% Pass accuracy 83.6%
458.25 Passes per match 518.9
-0.31 Goals prevented 0.02
11.5 Fouls committed 10.9
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.3
1.71 Offsides 2.4
15.63 Tackles per match 19.6

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs Galatasaray prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs Galatasaray with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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