Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg

Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Allsvenskan 2026-07-26 14:30
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Malmo FF
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
IF Elfsborg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
25%
2
20%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%

IF Elfsborg (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate31%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
DWWWD
IF Elfsborg
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 44%
50% +1.5 19%
31% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 31%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while IF Elfsborg averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Malmo FF(A) 2 - 2 IF Elfsborg Draw
Apr 2025 Malmo FF 2 - 1 IF Elfsborg Home
Mar 2025 Malmo FF 1 - 0 IF Elfsborg Home
May 2024 Malmo FF 2 - 1 IF Elfsborg Home
May 2024 Malmo FF(A) 1 - 3 IF Elfsborg Away

In the last 5 meetings, Malmo FF won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)2
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)4
IF Elfsborg — winless run (away)7
IF Elfsborg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)55%
Draw (X)25%
IF Elfsborg Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 44%
50% +1.5 19%
31% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 56%
50% -1.5 81%
69% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)1.69
Malmo FF — conceded (home)1
IF Elfsborg — scored (away)0.75
IF Elfsborg — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)56%
IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (away)31%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.0

IF Elfsborg (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
6 9 12 16 7
IF Elfsborg
14 10 11 19 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For1.9

IF Elfsborg (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.20

Malmo FF

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.40
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.93

IF Elfsborg

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.80
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.84

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)18.1
IF Elfsborg — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)5.6
IF Elfsborg — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box9.95
Outside the box5.2

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box10.35
Outside the box3.6
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)1.87
IF Elfsborg xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

58.95% Possession 46.5%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg

84.8% Pass accuracy 79.55%
533.15 Passes per match 384.2
0 Goals prevented 0
11.65 Fouls committed 14.9
1.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.45
1.15 Offsides 1.72

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Allsvenskan.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Allsvenskan
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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