Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Malmo FF
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0

IF Elfsborg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
55%
X
25%
2
20%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Malmo FF (Home)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%
IF Elfsborg (Away)
Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate31%
Team Form last 5 matches
Malmo FF
DWWWD
IF Elfsborg
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
81%
+0.5
44%
50%
+1.5
19%
31%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
56%
BTTS
31%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Malmo FF averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while IF Elfsborg averages 0.75 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 5
Sep 2025
Malmo FF(A)
2 - 2
IF Elfsborg
Draw
Apr 2025
Malmo FF
2 - 1
IF Elfsborg
Home
Mar 2025
Malmo FF
1 - 0
IF Elfsborg
Home
May 2024
Malmo FF
2 - 1
IF Elfsborg
Home
May 2024
Malmo FF(A)
1 - 3
IF Elfsborg
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Malmo FF won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)2
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)4
IF Elfsborg — winless run (away)7
IF Elfsborg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Malmo FF Win (1)55%
Draw (X)25%
IF Elfsborg Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
81%
+0.5
44%
50%
+1.5
19%
31%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
19%
-0.5
56%
50%
-1.5
81%
69%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Malmo FF — scored (home)1.69
Malmo FF — conceded (home)1
IF Elfsborg — scored (away)0.75
IF Elfsborg — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)56%
IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (away)31%
Combined (simple average)43.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Malmo FF (home)
Corners for7.3
Corners against3.0
IF Elfsborg (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against5.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Malmo FF
6
9
12
16
7
IF Elfsborg
14
10
11
19
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Malmo FF (home)
For1.9
IF Elfsborg (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.20
Malmo FF
Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.40
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.93
IF Elfsborg
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.80
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.84
Shots per Game
Malmo FF — total shots (home)18.1
IF Elfsborg — total shots (away)13.3
Shots on Target
Malmo FF — on target (home)5.6
IF Elfsborg — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Malmo FF
Inside the box9.95
Outside the box5.2
IF Elfsborg
Inside the box10.35
Outside the box3.6
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF xG (home)1.87
IF Elfsborg xG (away)1.82
Average Possession
58.95%
Possession
46.5%
Team Comparison Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg
84.8%
Pass accuracy
79.55%
533.15
Passes per match
384.2
0
Goals prevented
0
11.65
Fouls committed
14.9
1.85
Goalkeeper saves
3.45
1.15
Offsides
1.72
League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg prediction analysis
Review Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Allsvenskan.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Allsvenskan
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights