Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs Sparta Praha

Malmo FF vs Sparta Praha prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-08-21 19:00
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sparta Praha
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Sparta Praha (Away)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
LLWDL
Sparta Praha
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 71%
67% +1.5 57%
33% +2.5 14%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 2 goals scored at home, while Sparta Praha averages 1.43 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
22%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2024 Malmo FF(A) 0 - 2 Sparta Praha Away
Aug 2024 Malmo FF 0 - 2 Sparta Praha Away

In the last 2 meetings, Malmo FF won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)0
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)0
Sparta Praha — winless run (away)4
Sparta Praha — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)48%
Draw (X)22%
Sparta Praha Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 71%
67% +1.5 57%
33% +2.5 14%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 29%
33% -1.5 43%
67% -2.5 86%
67% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Malmo FF vs Sparta Praha — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)2
Malmo FF — conceded (home)1.67
Sparta Praha — scored (away)1.43
Sparta Praha — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)67%
Sparta Praha — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.540%
Under 4.560%
Over 5.540%
Under 5.560%
Over 6.540%
Under 6.560%
Over 7.540%
Under 7.560%
Over 8.530%
Under 8.570%
Over 9.530%
Under 9.570%
Over 10.510%
Under 10.590%
Expected total corners (blended average)5.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for2.0
Corners against2.0

Sparta Praha (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
0 0 4 8
Sparta Praha
9 6 10 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For2.0

Sparta Praha (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)10.0
Sparta Praha — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)3.0
Sparta Praha — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.5

Sparta Praha

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box3.9

Player Shots Malmo FF

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Sparta Praha

L. Haraslín
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Ryneš
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Birmančević
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Preciado
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
F. Panák
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)0
Sparta Praha xG (away)0.77

Average Possession

63% Possession 33.9%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs Sparta Praha

80% Pass accuracy 72.8%
519.5 Passes per match 309.3
0 Goals prevented -0.09
13 Fouls committed 10.3
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 4.8
1.5 Offsides 1.4
16 Tackles per match 15.2

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs Sparta Praha prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs Sparta Praha with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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