Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs Twente

Malmo FF vs Twente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-01-23 17:45
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Twente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
28%
2
48%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Twente (Away)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
DLDLL
Twente
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 80%
50% +1.5 60%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 1 goals scored at home, while Twente averages 1.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
28%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 Malmo FF 2 - 3 Twente Away

In the last 1 meetings, Malmo FF won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)0
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)2
Twente — winless run (away)1
Twente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)23%
Draw (X)28%
Twente Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 80%
50% +1.5 60%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 20%
50% -1.5 40%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Malmo FF vs Twente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)1
Malmo FF — conceded (home)2
Twente — scored (away)1.6
Twente — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)50%
Twente — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.0

Twente (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against8.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
5 4 10 16 12
Twente
9 16 16 3 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For3.3

Twente (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)13.8
Twente — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)2.5
Twente — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.75
Outside the box4.38

Twente

Inside the box8.4
Outside the box3.1

Player Shots Malmo FF

H. Bolin
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Botheim
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
I. Kiese Thelin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Ali
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Johnsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Twente

M. Vlap
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. van Wolfswinkel
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Lammers
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Rots
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)1.5
Twente xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

53% Possession 45.4%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs Twente

80.5% Pass accuracy 79.3%
458.25 Passes per match 420
-0.31 Goals prevented 0.05
11.5 Fouls committed 12
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.4
1.71 Offsides 1.4
15.63 Tackles per match 23.6

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs Twente prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs Twente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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