Prediction Analysis: Manchester City vs Tottenham
Manchester City vs Tottenham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier League
2024-11-23
17:30
Manchester City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Tottenham
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
22%
2
26%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Manchester City (Home)
Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate63%
Tottenham (Away)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Manchester City
WWDWW
Tottenham
LLLDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
89%
+0.5
68%
68%
+1.5
42%
42%
+2.5
21%
21%
+3.5
16%
5%
+4.5
5%
63%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
Manchester City averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Tottenham averages 1.53 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Manchester City(A)
2 - 2
Tottenham
Draw
Aug 2025
Manchester City
0 - 2
Tottenham
Away
Feb 2025
Manchester City(A)
1 - 0
Tottenham
Home
Nov 2024
Manchester City
0 - 4
Tottenham
Away
Oct 2024
Manchester City(A)
1 - 2
Tottenham
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Manchester City won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Manchester City — unbeaten run (home)6
Manchester City — scoring streak (home)6
Tottenham — winless run (away)6
Tottenham — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Manchester City Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
Tottenham Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
89%
+0.5
68%
68%
+1.5
42%
42%
+2.5
21%
21%
+3.5
16%
5%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
11%
-0.5
32%
32%
-1.5
58%
58%
-2.5
79%
79%
-3.5
84%
95%
-4.5
95%
Manchester City vs Tottenham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Manchester City — scored (home)2.26
Manchester City — conceded (home)1.21
Tottenham — scored (away)1.53
Tottenham — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.2
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
Manchester City — BTTS matches (home)63%
Tottenham — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Manchester City (home)
Corners for7.0
Corners against2.7
Tottenham (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Manchester City
12
9
16
4
7
Tottenham
10
4
12
10
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Manchester City (home)
For1.9
Tottenham (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Manchester City — total shots (home)16.7
Tottenham — total shots (away)12.0
Shots on Target
Manchester City — on target (home)5.9
Tottenham — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Manchester City
Inside the box10.16
Outside the box5.82
Tottenham
Inside the box9.39
Outside the box3.68
Player Shots Manchester City
E. Haaland
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target58%
Omar Marmoush
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target31%
K. Walker
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Foden
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. De Bruyne
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Tottenham
D. Solanke
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target30%
Richarlison
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Maddison
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Son Heung-Min
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Werner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City xG (home)1.81
Tottenham xG (away)1.57
Average Possession
61.5%
Possession
54.82%
Team Comparison Manchester City vs Tottenham
89.71%
Pass accuracy
84.42%
602.5
Passes per match
479.5
-0.08
Goals prevented
-0.19
7.55
Fouls committed
11.74
2.29
Goalkeeper saves
3.24
1.18
Offsides
1.75
13.05
Tackles per match
17.42
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Manchester City vs Tottenham prediction analysis
Review Manchester City vs Tottenham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights