Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Manchester United vs Ipswich

Manchester United vs Ipswich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-08-30 15:30
Manchester United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Ipswich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
21%
2
22%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Manchester United (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate68%

Ipswich (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manchester United
WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 0%
68% +1.5 0%
37% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Manchester United averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Ipswich averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
21%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 Manchester United 3 - 2 Ipswich Home
Nov 2024 Manchester United(A) 1 - 1 Ipswich Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Manchester United — unbeaten run (home)3
Manchester United — scoring streak (home)13

1X2 Probability model

Manchester United Win (1)56%
Draw (X)21%
Ipswich Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 0%
68% +1.5 0%
37% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 100%
32% -1.5 100%
63% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Manchester United vs Ipswich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manchester United — scored (home)2.05
Manchester United — conceded (home)1.26
Ipswich — scored (away)0
Ipswich — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals3.24

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Manchester United — BTTS matches (home)68%
Ipswich — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)34%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manchester United (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.5

Ipswich (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manchester United
15 5 13 13 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Manchester United (home)

For1.8

Ipswich (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.83

Manchester United

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.562%
Expected shots15.98
On Target Over 3.576%
On Target Over 4.561%
On Target Over 5.546%
Expected on target5.52

Ipswich

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.85
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.74

Shots per Game

Manchester United — total shots (home)17.9
Ipswich — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Manchester United — on target (home)6.8
Ipswich — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manchester United

Inside the box10.32
Outside the box5.37

Ipswich

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Manchester United

B. Šeško
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target23%
Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Mbeumo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Diallo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target13%
Bruno Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Ipswich

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United xG (home)1.72
Ipswich xG (away)-

Average Possession

51.82% Possession -%

Team Comparison Manchester United vs Ipswich

82.32% Pass accuracy 0%
465.53 Passes per match -
0.04 Goals prevented -
9.79 Fouls committed -
2.42 Goalkeeper saves -
1.41 Offsides -
18.21 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manchester United vs Ipswich prediction and preview

Preview Manchester United vs Ipswich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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