What markets are included in the Manchester United vs Lyon prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Manchester United vs Lyon prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Manchester United vs Lyon

Manchester United vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-04-17 19:00

Manchester United

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lyon

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

22%

41%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

68%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Manchester United (Home)

Goals scored / match3

Goals conceded / match1.43

Over 2.5 rate57%

BTTS rate86%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match2.83

Goals conceded / match1.67

Over 2.5 rate67%

BTTS rate83%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manchester United

LWWWD

Lyon

LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 83%

86% +1.5 83%

57% +2.5 67%

43% +3.5 50%

14% +4.5 0%

86% BTTS 83%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Manchester United averages 3 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 2.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

22%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

68%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2025 Manchester United 5 - 4 Lyon Home

Apr 2025 Manchester United(A) 2 - 2 Lyon Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Manchester United — unbeaten run (home)7

Manchester United — scoring streak (home)7

Lyon — winless run (away)1

Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Manchester United Win (1)37%

Draw (X)22%

Lyon Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 83%

86% +1.5 83%

57% +2.5 67%

43% +3.5 50%

14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 17%

14% -1.5 17%

43% -2.5 33%

57% -3.5 50%

86% -4.5 100%

Manchester United vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manchester United — scored (home)3

Manchester United — conceded (home)1.43

Lyon — scored (away)2.83

Lyon — conceded (away)1.67

Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%

No32%

Rate per Team

Manchester United — BTTS matches (home)86%

Lyon — BTTS matches (away)83%

Combined (simple average)84.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%

Under 4.514%

Over 5.577%

Under 5.523%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.569%

Under 9.531%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manchester United (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against3.1

Lyon (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manchester United

13 10 9 2 9

Lyon

15 11 4 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.593%

Under 1.57%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Manchester United (home)

For1.9

Lyon (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Manchester United — total shots (home)18.3

Lyon — total shots (away)15.5

Shots on Target

Manchester United — on target (home)6.3

Lyon — on target (away)7.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manchester United

Inside the box12.47

Outside the box5.07

Lyon

Inside the box11.83

Outside the box5.33

Player Shots Manchester United

M. Mount

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target22%

Bruno Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target21%

K. Mainoo

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Højlund

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Garnacho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots Lyon

T. Almada

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

P. Akouokou

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

E. Nuamah

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target30%

R. Cherki

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United xG (home)2.15

Lyon xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

58.33% Possession 56.42%

Team Comparison Manchester United vs Lyon

85.27% Pass accuracy 85.33%

539.2 Passes per match 545.83

-0.18 Goals prevented 0.12

10.07 Fouls committed 11.5

2.67 Goalkeeper saves 3.58

1.57 Offsides 2

18 Tackles per match 17.5

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manchester United vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Manchester United vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights