Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Manchester United vs PAOK

Manchester United vs PAOK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 20:00
Manchester United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
PAOK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
19%
2
18%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Manchester United (Home)

Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate57%
BTTS rate86%

PAOK (Away)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate17%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manchester United
LWWWD
PAOK
LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 50%
86% +1.5 33%
57% +2.5 0%
43% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%
86% BTTS 17%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Manchester United averages 3 goals scored at home, while PAOK averages 0.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
19%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Manchester United 2 - 0 PAOK Home

In the last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Manchester United — unbeaten run (home)7
Manchester United — scoring streak (home)7
PAOK — winless run (away)2
PAOK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Manchester United Win (1)63%
Draw (X)19%
PAOK Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 50%
86% +1.5 33%
57% +2.5 0%
43% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 50%
14% -1.5 67%
43% -2.5 100%
57% -3.5 100%
86% -4.5 100%

Manchester United vs PAOK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manchester United — scored (home)3
Manchester United — conceded (home)1.43
PAOK — scored (away)0.83
PAOK — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Manchester United — BTTS matches (home)86%
PAOK — BTTS matches (away)17%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manchester United (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.1

PAOK (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manchester United
13 10 9 2 9
PAOK
5 10 8 3 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Manchester United (home)

For1.9

PAOK (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Manchester United — total shots (home)18.3
PAOK — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Manchester United — on target (home)6.3
PAOK — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manchester United

Inside the box12.47
Outside the box5.07

PAOK

Inside the box9.1
Outside the box3.9

Player Shots Manchester United

M. Mount
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target22%
Bruno Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
K. Mainoo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Højlund
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Garnacho
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots PAOK

T. Bakayoko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
F. Chalov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Živković
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
G. Konstantelias
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
S. Schwab
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United xG (home)2.15
PAOK xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

58.33% Possession 52.55%

Team Comparison Manchester United vs PAOK

85.27% Pass accuracy 82.7%
539.2 Passes per match 477.5
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.02
10.07 Fouls committed 10.18
2.67 Goalkeeper saves 3.09
1.57 Offsides 1.73
18 Tackles per match 16.7

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manchester United vs PAOK prediction analysis

Review Manchester United vs PAOK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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