Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Manchester United vs Twente

Manchester United vs Twente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Europa League 2024-09-25 19:00
Manchester United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Twente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
19%
2
22%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Manchester United (Home)

Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate57%
BTTS rate86%

Twente (Away)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manchester United
LWWWD
Twente
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 80%
86% +1.5 60%
57% +2.5 20%
43% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%
86% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

Manchester United averages 3 goals scored at home, while Twente averages 1.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
19%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
72%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 Manchester United 1 - 1 Twente Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Manchester United won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Manchester United — unbeaten run (home)7
Manchester United — scoring streak (home)7
Twente — winless run (away)1
Twente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Manchester United Win (1)59%
Draw (X)19%
Twente Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 80%
86% +1.5 60%
57% +2.5 20%
43% +3.5 0%
14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 20%
14% -1.5 40%
43% -2.5 80%
57% -3.5 100%
86% -4.5 100%

Manchester United vs Twente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manchester United — scored (home)3
Manchester United — conceded (home)1.43
Twente — scored (away)1.6
Twente — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals4.01

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%
No28%

Rate per Team

Manchester United — BTTS matches (home)86%
Twente — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)83%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.586%
Under 8.514%
Over 9.576%
Under 9.524%
Over 10.562%
Under 10.538%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manchester United (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.1

Twente (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against8.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manchester United
13 10 9 2 9
Twente
9 16 16 3 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Manchester United (home)

For1.9

Twente (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Manchester United — total shots (home)18.3
Twente — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Manchester United — on target (home)6.3
Twente — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manchester United

Inside the box12.47
Outside the box5.07

Twente

Inside the box8.4
Outside the box3.1

Player Shots Manchester United

M. Mount
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target22%
Bruno Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
K. Mainoo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Højlund
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Garnacho
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots Twente

M. Vlap
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. van Wolfswinkel
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Lammers
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Rots
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester United xG (home)2.15
Twente xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

58.33% Possession 45.4%

Team Comparison Manchester United vs Twente

85.27% Pass accuracy 79.3%
539.2 Passes per match 420
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.05
10.07 Fouls committed 12
2.67 Goalkeeper saves 3.4
1.57 Offsides 1.4
18 Tackles per match 23.6

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manchester United vs Twente prediction analysis

Review Manchester United vs Twente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top