Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-28 13:00
Manisa F.K.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
74%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Bodrum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
21%
2
43%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
73%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Manisa F.K. (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Bodrum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manisa F.K.
WLWWW
Bodrum FK
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 70%
53% +1.5 35%
32% +2.5 25%
16% +3.5 15%
11% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Manisa F.K. averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Bodrum FK averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
21%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
73%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Manisa F.K.(A) 2 - 1 Bodrum FK Home
Sep 2025 Manisa F.K. 0 - 4 Bodrum FK Away
Apr 2024 Manisa F.K. 0 - 1 Bodrum FK Away
Nov 2023 Manisa F.K.(A) 0 - 2 Bodrum FK Away
Mar 2023 Manisa F.K. 2 - 1 Bodrum FK Home

In the last 5 meetings, Manisa F.K. won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Manisa F.K. — unbeaten run (home)3
Manisa F.K. — scoring streak (home)3
Bodrum FK — winless run (away)3
Bodrum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Manisa F.K. Win (1)36%
Draw (X)21%
Bodrum FK Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 70%
53% +1.5 35%
32% +2.5 25%
16% +3.5 15%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 30%
47% -1.5 65%
68% -2.5 75%
84% -3.5 85%
89% -4.5 95%

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manisa F.K. — scored (home)1.89
Manisa F.K. — conceded (home)1.16
Bodrum FK — scored (away)1.5
Bodrum FK — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals3.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes73%
No27%

Rate per Team

Manisa F.K. — BTTS matches (home)42%
Bodrum FK — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manisa F.K. (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.5

Bodrum FK (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manisa F.K.
10 8 6 13 12
Bodrum FK
19 6 7 8 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Manisa F.K. (home)

For2.6

Bodrum FK (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Manisa F.K. — total shots (home)12.1
Bodrum FK — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Manisa F.K. — on target (home)5.5
Bodrum FK — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manisa F.K.

Inside the box6.92
Outside the box4.18

Bodrum FK

Inside the box8.1
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots Manisa F.K.

Osman Kahraman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Diony
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target37%
Y. Benrahou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Süleyman
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Karapo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Bodrum FK

C. Dumanlı
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Seferi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Hotić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Pedro Brazão
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ajeti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manisa F.K. xG (home)1.22
Bodrum FK xG (away)1.87

Average Possession

45.87% Possession 49.12%

Team Comparison Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK

78.26% Pass accuracy 79.49%
363 Passes per match 362.76
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 11.76
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.85
1.63 Offsides 2.31
15.76 Tackles per match 14.35

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK prediction analysis

Review Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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