Prediction Analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-09-20
16:00
Manisa F.K.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Esenler Erokspor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
33%
X
24%
2
44%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Manisa F.K. (Home)
Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%
Esenler Erokspor (Away)
Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Manisa F.K.
WLWWW
Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
79%
53%
+1.5
58%
32%
+2.5
47%
16%
+3.5
26%
11%
+4.5
11%
42%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Manisa F.K. averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Esenler Erokspor averages 2.21 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
33%
Draw
24%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 4
Feb 2026
Manisa F.K.(A)
1 - 3
Esenler Erokspor
Away
Sep 2025
Manisa F.K.
3 - 4
Esenler Erokspor
Away
Mar 2025
Manisa F.K.(A)
1 - 1
Esenler Erokspor
Draw
Oct 2024
Manisa F.K.
0 - 1
Esenler Erokspor
Away
In the last 4 meetings, Manisa F.K. won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Manisa F.K. — unbeaten run (home)3
Manisa F.K. — scoring streak (home)3
Esenler Erokspor — winless run (away)1
Esenler Erokspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Manisa F.K. Win (1)33%
Draw (X)24%
Esenler Erokspor Win (2)44%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
79%
53%
+1.5
58%
32%
+2.5
47%
16%
+3.5
26%
11%
+4.5
11%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
21%
47%
-1.5
42%
68%
-2.5
53%
84%
-3.5
74%
89%
-4.5
89%
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Manisa F.K. — scored (home)1.89
Manisa F.K. — conceded (home)1.16
Esenler Erokspor — scored (away)2.21
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals3.11
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
Manisa F.K. — BTTS matches (home)42%
Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.516%
Under 10.584%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Manisa F.K. (home)
Corners for3.8
Corners against4.5
Esenler Erokspor (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Manisa F.K.
10
8
6
13
12
Esenler Erokspor
8
10
11
7
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Manisa F.K. (home)
For2.6
Esenler Erokspor (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
Manisa F.K. — total shots (home)12.1
Esenler Erokspor — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Manisa F.K. — on target (home)5.5
Esenler Erokspor — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Manisa F.K.
Inside the box6.92
Outside the box4.18
Esenler Erokspor
Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15
Player Shots Manisa F.K.
Osman Kahraman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Diony
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target37%
Y. Benrahou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Süleyman
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Karapo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Esenler Erokspor
O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Manisa F.K. xG (home)1.22
Esenler Erokspor xG (away)1.6
Average Possession
45.87%
Possession
57.9%
Team Comparison Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
78.26%
Pass accuracy
83.72%
363
Passes per match
464.79
0
Goals prevented
0
11.45
Fouls committed
10.67
3.38
Goalkeeper saves
1.64
1.63
Offsides
1.95
15.76
Tackles per match
13.03
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor prediction analysis
Review Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights