Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor

Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-01-12 17:00
Manisa F.K.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ümraniyespor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
23%
2
26%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Manisa F.K. (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Ümraniyespor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manisa F.K.
WLWWW
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 21%
32% +2.5 5%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Manisa F.K. averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
23%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Manisa F.K. 1 - 0 Ümraniyespor Home
Aug 2025 Manisa F.K.(A) 1 - 2 Ümraniyespor Away
May 2025 Manisa F.K.(A) 1 - 0 Ümraniyespor Home
Jan 2025 Manisa F.K. 0 - 3 Ümraniyespor Away
Mar 2024 Manisa F.K. 3 - 2 Ümraniyespor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Manisa F.K. won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Manisa F.K. — unbeaten run (home)3
Manisa F.K. — scoring streak (home)3
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Manisa F.K. Win (1)50%
Draw (X)23%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 21%
32% +2.5 5%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 79%
68% -2.5 95%
84% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manisa F.K. — scored (home)1.89
Manisa F.K. — conceded (home)1.16
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Manisa F.K. — BTTS matches (home)42%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manisa F.K. (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.5

Ümraniyespor (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manisa F.K.
10 8 6 13 12
Ümraniyespor
8 14 7 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Manisa F.K. (home)

For2.6

Ümraniyespor (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Manisa F.K. — total shots (home)12.1
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9

Shots on Target

Manisa F.K. — on target (home)5.5
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manisa F.K.

Inside the box6.92
Outside the box4.18

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97

Player Shots Manisa F.K.

Osman Kahraman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Diony
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target37%
Y. Benrahou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Süleyman
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Karapo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manisa F.K. xG (home)1.22
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

45.87% Possession 47.08%

Team Comparison Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor

78.26% Pass accuracy 79.97%
363 Passes per match 386.84
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 10.42
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
1.63 Offsides 1.59
15.76 Tackles per match 14.54

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis

Review Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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