Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK

Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-16 16:00
Manisa F.K.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vanspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Manisa F.K. (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Vanspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Manisa F.K.
WLWWW
Vanspor FK
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 32%
32% +2.5 26%
16% +3.5 11%
11% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Manisa F.K. averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Vanspor FK averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Manisa F.K.(A) 1 - 0 Vanspor FK Home
Dec 2025 Manisa F.K. 2 - 1 Vanspor FK Home

In the last 2 meetings, Manisa F.K. won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Manisa F.K. — unbeaten run (home)3
Manisa F.K. — scoring streak (home)3
Vanspor FK — winless run (away)1
Vanspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Manisa F.K. Win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
Vanspor FK Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 32%
32% +2.5 26%
16% +3.5 11%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
47% -1.5 68%
68% -2.5 74%
84% -3.5 89%
89% -4.5 95%

Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Manisa F.K. — scored (home)1.89
Manisa F.K. — conceded (home)1.16
Vanspor FK — scored (away)1.42
Vanspor FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Manisa F.K. — BTTS matches (home)42%
Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Manisa F.K. (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.5

Vanspor FK (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Manisa F.K.
10 8 6 13 12
Vanspor FK
12 8 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Manisa F.K. (home)

For2.6

Vanspor FK (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.538%
Under 25.562%
Expected total shots23.66

Manisa F.K.

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.63
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.04

Vanspor FK

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.03
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.13

Shots per Game

Manisa F.K. — total shots (home)12.1
Vanspor FK — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Manisa F.K. — on target (home)5.5
Vanspor FK — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Manisa F.K.

Inside the box6.92
Outside the box4.18

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Manisa F.K.

Osman Kahraman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Diony
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target37%
Y. Benrahou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Süleyman
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Karapo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Iván Cédric
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Hostikka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Bilal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sabahattin Destici
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manisa F.K. xG (home)1.22
Vanspor FK xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

45.87% Possession 54.89%

Team Comparison Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK

78.26% Pass accuracy 79.58%
363 Passes per match 397.71
0 Goals prevented 0
11.45 Fouls committed 14.92
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.63 Offsides 2
15.76 Tackles per match 15.05

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK prediction analysis

Review Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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