Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mantova vs Empoli

Mantova vs Empoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-29 13:00
Mantova
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Empoli
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
25%
2
30%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Mantova (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Empoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mantova
LWWLW
Empoli
DWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mantova averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Empoli averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
25%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Mantova(A) 2 - 2 Empoli Draw
Dec 2025 Mantova 0 - 1 Empoli Away

In the last 2 meetings, Mantova won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mantova — unbeaten run (home)1
Mantova — scoring streak (home)1
Empoli — winless run (away)10
Empoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mantova Win (1)45%
Draw (X)25%
Empoli Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
42% +1.5 32%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
58% -1.5 68%
84% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Mantova vs Empoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mantova — scored (home)1.47
Mantova — conceded (home)1.53
Empoli — scored (away)1
Empoli — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Mantova — BTTS matches (home)63%
Empoli — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mantova (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.3

Empoli (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mantova
6 12 4 7 11
Empoli
8 11 15 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Mantova (home)

For2.4

Empoli (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.22

Mantova

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots14.95
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03

Empoli

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.27
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.63

Shots per Game

Mantova — total shots (home)15.9
Empoli — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Mantova — on target (home)5.4
Empoli — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mantova

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box6.16

Empoli

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box3.95

Player Shots Mantova

L. Mancuso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Marras
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Bonfanti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Meroni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
F. Paoletti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Empoli

N. Obaretin
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Shpendi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target34%
P. Pellegri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Nasti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
Gerard Yepes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mantova xG (home)1.38
Empoli xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

57.13% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison Mantova vs Empoli

82.84% Pass accuracy 77.63%
466.29 Passes per match 360
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.08
14.89 Fouls committed 15.82
2.87 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.78 Offsides 1.43
12.71 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mantova vs Empoli prediction analysis

Review Mantova vs Empoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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