What markets are included in the Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Maritimo vs Casa Pia

Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2026-08-08 14:30

Maritimo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Casa Pia

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

27%

26%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Maritimo (Home)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Casa Pia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.72

Goals conceded / match1.72

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Casa Pia

WDDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 50%

0% +1.5 22%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

0% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Maritimo averages 0 goals scored at home, while Casa Pia averages 0.72 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2023 Maritimo(A) 0 - 2 Casa Pia Away

Oct 2022 Maritimo 1 - 2 Casa Pia Away

In the last 2 meetings, Maritimo won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Casa Pia — winless run (away)1

Casa Pia — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Maritimo Win (1)47%

Draw (X)27%

Casa Pia Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 50%

0% +1.5 22%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 50%

100% -1.5 78%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Maritimo vs Casa Pia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Maritimo — scored (home)0

Maritimo — conceded (home)0

Casa Pia — scored (away)0.72

Casa Pia — conceded (away)1.72

Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Maritimo — BTTS matches (home)0%

Casa Pia — BTTS matches (away)33%

Combined (simple average)16.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Maritimo (home)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Casa Pia (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Casa Pia

9 10 9 8 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%

Under 0.553%

Over 1.545%

Under 1.555%

Over 2.542%

Under 2.558%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Maritimo (home)

Forâ€”

Casa Pia (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.542%

Under 25.558%

Expected total shots24.54

Maritimo

Shots Over 9.577%

Shots Over 11.563%

Shots Over 13.549%

Expected shots13.92

On Target Over 3.563%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.532%

Expected on target4.57

Casa Pia

Shots Over 9.556%

Shots Over 11.538%

Shots Over 13.524%

Expected shots10.62

On Target Over 3.547%

On Target Over 4.530%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.60

Shots per Game

Maritimo — total shots (home)â€”

Casa Pia — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Maritimo — on target (home)â€”

Casa Pia — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Maritimo

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Casa Pia

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Maritimo

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Casa Pia

Gaizka Larrazabal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Max Svensson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Livolant

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target9%

Cassiano

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target12%

D. Livramento

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Maritimo xG (home)-

Casa Pia xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

-% Possession 41.17%

Team Comparison Maritimo vs Casa Pia

0% Pass accuracy 71.94%

- Passes per match 299.28

- Goals prevented -0.13

- Fouls committed 16.06

- Goalkeeper saves 2.78

- Offsides 1.51

- Tackles per match 15.19

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction analysis

Review Maritimo vs Casa Pia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights