Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Angers

Marseille vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-29 20:05
Marseille
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Angers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
84%
X
11%
2
5%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate65%

Angers (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille
WWLDL
Angers
DDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 59%
65% +1.5 6%
47% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

Marseille averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
84%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
84%
Draw
11%
Away Win
5%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Marseille(A) 5 - 2 Angers Home
Oct 2025 Marseille 2 - 2 Angers Draw
Feb 2025 Marseille(A) 2 - 0 Angers Home
Oct 2024 Marseille 1 - 1 Angers Draw
May 2023 Marseille 3 - 1 Angers Home

In the last 5 meetings, Marseille won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)3
Marseille — scoring streak (home)8
Angers — winless run (away)4
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)84%
Draw (X)11%
Angers Win (2)5%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 59%
65% +1.5 6%
47% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 41%
35% -1.5 94%
53% -2.5 100%
82% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Marseille vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)2.41
Marseille — conceded (home)1.18
Angers — scored (away)0.65
Angers — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)65%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.2

Angers (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille
8 8 15 3 15
Angers
7 9 10 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.2

Angers (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)15.8
Angers — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)6.3
Angers — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.47

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target41%
P. Aubameyang
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target30%
A. Gouiri
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target14%
Igor Paixão
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Traorè
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.81
Angers xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

56.94% Possession 41.82%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Angers

87.15% Pass accuracy 81.97%
540.71 Passes per match 398.09
-0.27 Goals prevented -0.01
12.71 Fouls committed 11.09
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 4.03
1.24 Offsides 1.79
14.91 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Angers prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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