What markets are included in the Marseille vs Atalanta prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Atalanta prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Atalanta

Marseille vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-05 20:00

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Atalanta

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

24%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.25

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate25%

Atalanta (Away)

Goals scored / match0.83

Goals conceded / match1.83

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate17%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

LLWWL

Atalanta

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 50%

50% +1.5 17%

25% +2.5 17%

25% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

25% BTTS 17%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Marseille averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 0.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

24%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2025 Marseille 0 - 1 Atalanta Away

May 2024 Marseille(A) 0 - 3 Atalanta Away

May 2024 Marseille 1 - 1 Atalanta Draw

In the last 3 meetings, Marseille won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)0

Marseille — scoring streak (home)0

Atalanta — winless run (away)3

Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)52%

Draw (X)24%

Atalanta Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 50%

50% +1.5 17%

25% +2.5 17%

25% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 50%

50% -1.5 83%

75% -2.5 83%

75% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Marseille vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)1.5

Marseille — conceded (home)1.25

Atalanta — scored (away)0.83

Atalanta — conceded (away)1.83

Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)25%

Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)17%

Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.534%

Under 9.566%

Over 10.534%

Under 10.566%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for6.0

Corners against4.8

Atalanta (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 16 5 11 14

Atalanta

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%

Under 0.516%

Over 1.563%

Under 1.537%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.5

Atalanta (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)14.3

Atalanta — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)5.3

Atalanta — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box6.38

Atalanta

Inside the box9.58

Outside the box4.25

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target63%

P. Aubameyang

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target13%

Igor Paixão

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

T. Weah

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

G. Kondogbia

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

M. Pašalić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

C. De Ketelaere

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Scamacca

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

L. Samardžić

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.08

Atalanta xG (away)1.84

Average Possession

55.38% Possession 48.5%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Atalanta

86.63% Pass accuracy 83%

527 Passes per match 460.75

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.04

13.25 Fouls committed 10.08

4.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.33

1.63 Offsides 2.75

14.63 Tackles per match 13.33

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Atalanta prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights