What markets are included in the Marseille vs Auxerre prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Auxerre prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Auxerre

Marseille vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-11-08 19:45

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Auxerre

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

22%

27%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

63%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

WWDWW

Auxerre

LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 12%

29% +3.5 6%

18% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Marseille averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

22%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Marseille 1 - 0 Auxerre Home

Nov 2025 Marseille(A) 1 - 0 Auxerre Home

Feb 2025 Marseille(A) 0 - 3 Auxerre Away

Nov 2024 Marseille 1 - 3 Auxerre Away

Apr 2023 Marseille 2 - 1 Auxerre Home

In the last 5 meetings, Marseille won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)4

Marseille — scoring streak (home)4

Auxerre — winless run (away)1

Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)51%

Draw (X)22%

Auxerre Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 12%

29% +3.5 6%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%

35% -1.5 59%

59% -2.5 88%

71% -3.5 94%

82% -4.5 100%

Marseille vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)2.41

Marseille — conceded (home)1.35

Auxerre — scored (away)1.41

Auxerre — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals3.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%

No37%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.7

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Auxerre

12 9 9 10 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.1

Auxerre (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)15.4

Auxerre — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)6.5

Auxerre — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Auxerre

Inside the box7.32

Outside the box3.85

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Auxerre

R. Raveloson

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Perrin

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

K. Danois

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target5%

T. Bair

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Onaiwu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.91

Auxerre xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

63.59% Possession 42.47%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Auxerre

88.94% Pass accuracy 78.35%

642.18 Passes per match 376.76

0.11 Goals prevented 0.1

11.59 Fouls committed 11.88

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.76

1.66 Offsides 1.41

16.21 Tackles per match 19.32

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights