What markets are included in the Marseille vs Le Havre prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Le Havre prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Le Havre

Marseille vs Le Havre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-01-05 19:45

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Le Havre

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

26%

33%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

Le Havre (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

WWDWW

Le Havre

WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%

65% +1.5 47%

41% +2.5 12%

29% +3.5 6%

18% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Marseille averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Le Havre averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

26%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Marseille(A) 1 - 0 Le Havre Home

Oct 2025 Marseille 6 - 2 Le Havre Home

May 2025 Marseille(A) 3 - 1 Le Havre Home

Jan 2025 Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre Home

May 2024 Marseille(A) 2 - 1 Le Havre Home

In the last 5 meetings, Marseille won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)4

Marseille — scoring streak (home)4

Le Havre — winless run (away)0

Le Havre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)40%

Draw (X)26%

Le Havre Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%

65% +1.5 47%

41% +2.5 12%

29% +3.5 6%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%

35% -1.5 53%

59% -2.5 88%

71% -3.5 94%

82% -4.5 100%

Marseille vs Le Havre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)2.41

Marseille — conceded (home)1.35

Le Havre — scored (away)1.47

Le Havre — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Le Havre — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.7

Le Havre (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Le Havre

10 9 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.1

Le Havre (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)15.4

Le Havre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)6.5

Le Havre — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Le Havre

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Le Havre

Y. Salmier

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

I. Soumaré

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Touré

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target14%

Y. Kechta

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target6%

Koka

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.91

Le Havre xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

63.59% Possession 42.97%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Le Havre

88.94% Pass accuracy 80.82%

642.18 Passes per match 372.06

0.11 Goals prevented 0.22

11.59 Fouls committed 11.15

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.66 Offsides 1.56

16.21 Tackles per match 18.24

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Le Havre prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Le Havre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights