What markets are included in the Marseille vs Monaco prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Monaco prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille vs Monaco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-12-01 19:45

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Monaco

Away

Prediction Summary

18%

21%

61%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

Monaco (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

WWDWW

Monaco

LWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 88%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 18%

29% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Marseille averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Monaco averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

18%

Draw

21%

Away Win

61%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Marseille(A) 1 - 2 Monaco Away

Dec 2025 Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco Home

Apr 2025 Marseille(A) 0 - 3 Monaco Away

Dec 2024 Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco Home

Jan 2024 Marseille 2 - 2 Monaco Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Marseille won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)4

Marseille — scoring streak (home)4

Monaco — winless run (away)1

Monaco — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)18%

Draw (X)21%

Monaco Win (2)61%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 88%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 18%

29% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 12%

35% -1.5 59%

59% -2.5 82%

71% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Marseille vs Monaco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)2.41

Marseille — conceded (home)1.35

Monaco — scored (away)1.47

Monaco — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Monaco — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%

Under 4.515%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.7

Monaco (away)

Corners for6.1

Corners against3.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Monaco

5 9 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.579%

Under 1.521%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.1

Monaco (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)15.4

Monaco — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)6.5

Monaco — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Monaco

Inside the box10.68

Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Monaco

M. Biereth

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target50%

E. Ben Seghir

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target24%

G. Ilenikhena

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Akliouche

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Magassa

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.91

Monaco xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

63.59% Possession 55.03%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Monaco

88.94% Pass accuracy 82.82%

642.18 Passes per match 485.82

0.11 Goals prevented -0.13

11.59 Fouls committed 13.59

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.62

1.66 Offsides 2.09

16.21 Tackles per match 19.71

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Monaco prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Monaco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights