What markets are included in the Marseille vs Montpellier prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Montpellier prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Montpellier

Marseille vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-19 19:05

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Montpellier

Away

Prediction Summary

65%

20%

15%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35

Goals conceded / match2.24

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

WWDWW

Montpellier

LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 24%

65% +1.5 12%

41% +2.5 0%

29% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Marseille averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

65%

Draw

20%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Marseille 5 - 1 Montpellier Home

Oct 2024 Marseille(A) 5 - 0 Montpellier Home

Feb 2024 Marseille 4 - 1 Montpellier Home

Dec 2023 Marseille(A) 1 - 1 Montpellier Draw

Mar 2023 Marseille 1 - 1 Montpellier Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Marseille won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)4

Marseille — scoring streak (home)4

Montpellier — winless run (away)8

Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)65%

Draw (X)20%

Montpellier Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 24%

65% +1.5 12%

41% +2.5 0%

29% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 76%

35% -1.5 88%

59% -2.5 100%

71% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Marseille vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)2.41

Marseille — conceded (home)1.35

Montpellier — scored (away)0.35

Montpellier — conceded (away)2.24

Model expected combined goals2.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.7

Montpellier (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Montpellier

9 10 10 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.1

Montpellier (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)15.4

Montpellier — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)6.5

Montpellier — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Maamma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

T. Savanier

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.91

Montpellier xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

63.59% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Montpellier

88.94% Pass accuracy 80.53%

642.18 Passes per match 388.79

0.11 Goals prevented -0.1

11.59 Fouls committed 12.56

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.5

1.66 Offsides 2.1

16.21 Tackles per match 19

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights