What markets are included in the Marseille vs Newcastle prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Newcastle prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Newcastle

Marseille vs Newcastle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-25 20:00

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

73%

Confidence

High

Score

1-1

Newcastle

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

21%

42%

Over 2.5

73%

BTTS Yes

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.25

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate25%

Newcastle (Away)

Goals scored / match2.67

Goals conceded / match2.17

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate83%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

LLWWL

Newcastle

LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 67%

25% +2.5 33%

25% +3.5 33%

0% +4.5 17%

25% BTTS 83%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

Marseille averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Newcastle averages 2.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength

73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

21%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

73%

BTTS Yes

72%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Marseille 2 - 1 Newcastle Home

In the last 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)0

Marseille — scoring streak (home)0

Newcastle — winless run (away)1

Newcastle — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)37%

Draw (X)21%

Newcastle Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 67%

25% +2.5 33%

25% +3.5 33%

0% +4.5 17%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%

50% -1.5 33%

75% -2.5 67%

75% -3.5 67%

100% -4.5 83%

Marseille vs Newcastle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)1.5

Marseille — conceded (home)1.25

Newcastle — scored (away)2.67

Newcastle — conceded (away)2.17

Model expected combined goals3.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%

No28%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)25%

Newcastle — BTTS matches (away)83%

Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.559%

Under 10.541%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for6.0

Corners against4.8

Newcastle (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against7.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 16 5 11 14

Newcastle

6 14 15 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.571%

Under 1.529%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.5

Newcastle (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)14.3

Newcastle — total shots (away)14.3

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)5.3

Newcastle — on target (away)7.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box6.38

Newcastle

Inside the box11.17

Outside the box2.92

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target63%

P. Aubameyang

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target13%

Igor Paixão

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

T. Weah

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

G. Kondogbia

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Newcastle

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target92%

+1.5 On Target58%

A. Gordon

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Burn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Tonali

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Elanga

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.08

Newcastle xG (away)2.18

Average Possession

55.38% Possession 49%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Newcastle

86.63% Pass accuracy 81.42%

527 Passes per match 421.33

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.04

13.25 Fouls committed 9.67

4.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.83

1.63 Offsides 1.82

14.63 Tackles per match 14.25

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Newcastle prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Newcastle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights