What markets are included in the Marseille vs Rennes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Marseille vs Rennes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Marseille vs Rennes

Marseille vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-17 19:00

Marseille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

67%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Rennes

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

21%

26%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Marseille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate76%

Rennes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.94

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Marseille

WWDWW

Rennes

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 18%

29% +3.5 12%

18% +4.5 6%

76% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Marseille averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

21%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

66%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Marseille 3 - 1 Rennes Home

Feb 2026 Marseille 3 - 0 Rennes Home

Aug 2025 Marseille(A) 0 - 1 Rennes Away

May 2025 Marseille 4 - 2 Rennes Home

Jan 2025 Marseille(A) 2 - 1 Rennes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Marseille won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Marseille — unbeaten run (home)4

Marseille — scoring streak (home)4

Rennes — winless run (away)3

Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Marseille Win (1)53%

Draw (X)21%

Rennes Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 18%

29% +3.5 12%

18% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

35% -1.5 59%

59% -2.5 82%

71% -3.5 88%

82% -4.5 94%

Marseille vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Marseille — scored (home)2.41

Marseille — conceded (home)1.35

Rennes — scored (away)1.53

Rennes — conceded (away)1.94

Model expected combined goals3.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%

No34%

Rate per Team

Marseille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Rennes — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.556%

Under 7.544%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Marseille (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.7

Rennes (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Rennes

12 9 11 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Marseille (home)

For2.1

Rennes (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Marseille — total shots (home)15.4

Rennes — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Marseille — on target (home)6.5

Rennes — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Rennes

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target21%

Mousa Tamari

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Jacquet

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Rouault

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille xG (home)1.91

Rennes xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

63.59% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Marseille vs Rennes

88.94% Pass accuracy 84.12%

642.18 Passes per match 456.29

0.11 Goals prevented -0.02

11.59 Fouls committed 13.09

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.65

1.66 Offsides 1.41

16.21 Tackles per match 17.59

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Marseille vs Rennes prediction analysis

Review Marseille vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights