Prediction Analysis: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Melbourne Victory
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Central Coast Mariners
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
22%
2
25%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Melbourne Victory (Home)
Goals scored / match1.86
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate36%
BTTS rate57%
Central Coast Mariners (Away)
Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.92
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate54%
Team Form last 5 matches
Melbourne Victory
LWDDL
Central Coast Mariners
LWDLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
64%
+0.5
77%
50%
+1.5
38%
36%
+2.5
15%
29%
+3.5
8%
7%
+4.5
0%
57%
BTTS
54%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Melbourne Victory averages 1.86 goals scored at home, while Central Coast Mariners averages 1.38 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
22%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Melbourne Victory
4 - 1
Central Coast Mariners
Home
Feb 2026
Melbourne Victory(A)
0 - 1
Central Coast Mariners
Away
Mar 2025
Melbourne Victory
3 - 0
Central Coast Mariners
Home
Oct 2024
Melbourne Victory(A)
0 - 0
Central Coast Mariners
Draw
May 2024
Melbourne Victory(A)
1 - 3
Central Coast Mariners
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Melbourne Victory won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Melbourne Victory — unbeaten run (home)0
Melbourne Victory — scoring streak (home)0
Central Coast Mariners — winless run (away)1
Central Coast Mariners — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Melbourne Victory Win (1)53%
Draw (X)22%
Central Coast Mariners Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
64%
+0.5
77%
50%
+1.5
38%
36%
+2.5
15%
29%
+3.5
8%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
36%
-0.5
23%
50%
-1.5
62%
64%
-2.5
85%
71%
-3.5
92%
93%
-4.5
100%
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Melbourne Victory — scored (home)1.86
Melbourne Victory — conceded (home)1.07
Central Coast Mariners — scored (away)1.38
Central Coast Mariners — conceded (away)1.92
Model expected combined goals3.12
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
Melbourne Victory — BTTS matches (home)57%
Central Coast Mariners — BTTS matches (away)54%
Combined (simple average)55.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Melbourne Victory (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Central Coast Mariners (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Melbourne Victory (home)
For—
Central Coast Mariners (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Melbourne Victory — total shots (home)—
Central Coast Mariners — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Melbourne Victory — on target (home)—
Central Coast Mariners — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Melbourne Victory
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Central Coast Mariners
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction analysis
Review Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from A-League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights