Prediction Analysis: Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
A-League
2026-10-24
08:40
Melbourne Victory
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Melbourne City
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Melbourne Victory (Home)
Goals scored / match1.86
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate36%
BTTS rate57%
Melbourne City (Away)
Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate57%
Team Form last 5 matches
Melbourne Victory
LWDDL
Melbourne City
DLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
64%
+0.5
79%
50%
+1.5
29%
36%
+2.5
7%
29%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
57%
BTTS
57%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.
Melbourne Victory averages 1.86 goals scored at home, while Melbourne City averages 1.14 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Melbourne Victory(A)
3 - 1
Melbourne City
Home
Dec 2025
Melbourne Victory(A)
1 - 0
Melbourne City
Home
Nov 2025
Melbourne Victory
0 - 2
Melbourne City
Away
May 2025
Melbourne Victory(A)
0 - 1
Melbourne City
Away
Feb 2025
Melbourne Victory
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Melbourne Victory won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Melbourne Victory — unbeaten run (home)0
Melbourne Victory — scoring streak (home)0
Melbourne City — winless run (away)1
Melbourne City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Melbourne Victory Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Melbourne City Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
64%
+0.5
79%
50%
+1.5
29%
36%
+2.5
7%
29%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
36%
-0.5
21%
50%
-1.5
71%
64%
-2.5
93%
71%
-3.5
100%
93%
-4.5
100%
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Melbourne Victory — scored (home)1.86
Melbourne Victory — conceded (home)1.07
Melbourne City — scored (away)1.14
Melbourne City — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.79
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Melbourne Victory — BTTS matches (home)57%
Melbourne City — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)57%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Melbourne Victory (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Melbourne City (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Melbourne Victory (home)
For—
Melbourne City (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Melbourne Victory — total shots (home)—
Melbourne City — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Melbourne Victory — on target (home)—
Melbourne City — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Melbourne Victory
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Melbourne City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction analysis
Review Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from A-League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights