Prediction Analysis: Metz vs Guingamp
Metz vs Guingamp prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Metz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1

Guingamp
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Metz (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Guingamp (Away)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
Guingamp
LLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
71%
0%
+1.5
47%
0%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.
Metz averages 0 goals scored at home, while Guingamp averages 1.35 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 4
Feb 2025
Metz(A)
3 - 0
Guingamp
Home
Oct 2024
Metz
1 - 0
Guingamp
Home
May 2023
Metz(A)
1 - 1
Guingamp
Draw
Sep 2022
Metz
3 - 6
Guingamp
Away
In the last 4 meetings, Metz won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Guingamp — winless run (away)8
Guingamp — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Metz Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Guingamp Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
71%
0%
+1.5
47%
0%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
29%
100%
-1.5
53%
100%
-2.5
82%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Metz vs Guingamp — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Metz — scored (home)0
Metz — conceded (home)0
Guingamp — scored (away)1.35
Guingamp — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.77
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Metz — BTTS matches (home)0%
Guingamp — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)32.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Metz (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Guingamp (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Guingamp
6
8
8
7
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.541%
Under 2.559%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Metz (home)
For—
Guingamp (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.55
Metz
Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.75
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.68
Guingamp
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.80
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.74
Shots per Game
Metz — total shots (home)—
Guingamp — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
Metz — on target (home)—
Guingamp — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Metz
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Guingamp
Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.24
Player Shots Metz
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Player Shots Guingamp
L. Mafouta
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Hemia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Kielt
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Samoura
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Ahile
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Metz xG (home)-
Guingamp xG (away)0
Average Possession
-%
Possession
56.5%
Team Comparison Metz vs Guingamp
0%
Pass accuracy
83.96%
-
Passes per match
497.21
-
Goals prevented
0
-
Fouls committed
11.88
-
Goalkeeper saves
2.53
-
Offsides
2.19
-
Tackles per match
13.21
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Metz vs Guingamp prediction analysis
Review Metz vs Guingamp with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights