Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Metz vs Guingamp

Metz vs Guingamp prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 2 2026-08-08 18:45
Metz
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Guingamp
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Metz (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Guingamp (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Guingamp
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 71%
0% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Metz averages 0 goals scored at home, while Guingamp averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2025 Metz(A) 3 - 0 Guingamp Home
Oct 2024 Metz 1 - 0 Guingamp Home
May 2023 Metz(A) 1 - 1 Guingamp Draw
Sep 2022 Metz 3 - 6 Guingamp Away

In the last 4 meetings, Metz won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Guingamp — winless run (away)8
Guingamp — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Metz Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Guingamp Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 71%
0% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 29%
100% -1.5 53%
100% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Metz vs Guingamp — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Metz — scored (home)0
Metz — conceded (home)0
Guingamp — scored (away)1.35
Guingamp — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Metz — BTTS matches (home)0%
Guingamp — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Metz (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Guingamp (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Guingamp
6 8 8 7 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.547%
Under 0.553%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.541%
Under 2.559%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Metz (home)

For—

Guingamp (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.55

Metz

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.75
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.68

Guingamp

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.80
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.74

Shots per Game

Metz — total shots (home)—
Guingamp — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Metz — on target (home)—
Guingamp — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Metz

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Guingamp

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Metz

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Guingamp

L. Mafouta
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Hemia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Kielt
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Samoura
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Ahile
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz xG (home)-
Guingamp xG (away)0

Average Possession

-% Possession 56.5%

Team Comparison Metz vs Guingamp

0% Pass accuracy 83.96%
- Passes per match 497.21
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 11.88
- Goalkeeper saves 2.53
- Offsides 2.19
- Tackles per match 13.21
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Metz vs Guingamp prediction analysis

Review Metz vs Guingamp with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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