What markets are included in the Metz vs Le Havre prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Metz vs Le Havre prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Metz vs Le Havre

Metz vs Le Havre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-09-28 15:15

Metz

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Le Havre

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

27%

39%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Metz (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Le Havre (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Metz

DLLDL

Le Havre

WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 18%

6% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Metz averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Le Havre averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

27%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Metz(A) 4 - 4 Le Havre Draw

Sep 2025 Metz 0 - 0 Le Havre Draw

Apr 2024 Metz(A) 1 - 0 Le Havre Home

Oct 2023 Metz 0 - 0 Le Havre Draw

Mar 2023 Metz 1 - 1 Le Havre Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Metz won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Metz — unbeaten run (home)0

Metz — scoring streak (home)0

Le Havre — winless run (away)0

Le Havre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Metz Win (1)34%

Draw (X)27%

Le Havre Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 53%

29% +1.5 18%

6% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 47%

71% -1.5 82%

94% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Metz vs Le Havre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Metz — scored (home)0.88

Metz — conceded (home)1.88

Le Havre — scored (away)0.71

Le Havre — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Metz — BTTS matches (home)47%

Le Havre — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Metz (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.3

Le Havre (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Le Havre

7 10 19 3 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Metz (home)

For1.5

Le Havre (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Metz — total shots (home)11.8

Le Havre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Metz — on target (home)3.8

Le Havre — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Le Havre

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box4.18

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Le Havre

I. Soumaré

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target21%

N. Obougoujacquet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Samatta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

R. Khadra

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Touré

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz xG (home)1.03

Le Havre xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

48.94% Possession 46.82%

Team Comparison Metz vs Le Havre

85.24% Pass accuracy 80.29%

451.74 Passes per match 376.03

0.07 Goals prevented -0.05

11.38 Fouls committed 13.71

3.62 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.5 Offsides 2.3

16.71 Tackles per match 17.44

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Metz vs Le Havre prediction analysis

Review Metz vs Le Havre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights