What markets are included in the Metz vs Lens prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Metz vs Lens prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Metz vs Lens

Metz vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-10-29 18:00

Metz

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

26%

Confidence

High

Score

0-1

Lens

Away

Prediction Summary

20%

32%

48%

Under 2.5

74%

BTTS No

69%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Metz (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Metz

DLLDL

Lens

WLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 53%

6% +2.5 29%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

47% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Metz averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

20%

Draw

32%

Away Win

48%

Over 2.5

26%

BTTS Yes

31%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Metz(A) 0 - 3 Lens Away

Oct 2025 Metz 2 - 0 Lens Home

Apr 2024 Metz 2 - 1 Lens Home

Sep 2023 Metz(A) 1 - 0 Lens Home

Mar 2022 Metz 0 - 0 Lens Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Metz won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Metz — unbeaten run (home)0

Metz — scoring streak (home)0

Lens — winless run (away)0

Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Metz Win (1)20%

Draw (X)32%

Lens Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 53%

6% +2.5 29%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 24%

71% -1.5 47%

94% -2.5 71%

100% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Metz vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Metz — scored (home)0.88

Metz — conceded (home)1.88

Lens — scored (away)1.82

Lens — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals1.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%

No69%

Rate per Team

Metz — BTTS matches (home)47%

Lens — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Metz (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.3

Lens (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Lens

6 15 11 9 28

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Metz (home)

For1.5

Lens (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Metz — total shots (home)11.8

Lens — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Metz — on target (home)3.8

Lens — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Lens

Inside the box11.47

Outside the box4.97

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

W. Saïd

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Thauvin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Udol

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Sangaré

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz xG (home)1.03

Lens xG (away)1.99

Average Possession

48.94% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Metz vs Lens

85.24% Pass accuracy 84.24%

451.74 Passes per match 463.53

0.07 Goals prevented 0.17

11.38 Fouls committed 12.71

3.62 Goalkeeper saves 2.48

1.5 Offsides 2.23

16.71 Tackles per match 18.74

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Metz vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Metz vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights