What markets are included in the Metz vs Nice prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Metz vs Nice prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Metz vs Nice

Metz vs Nice prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-09 16:15

Metz

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Nice

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

27%

30%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Metz (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Nice (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.83

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Metz

DLLDL

Nice

WDDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 67%

29% +1.5 22%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Metz averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Nice averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

27%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Metz(A) 0 - 0 Nice Draw

Nov 2025 Metz 2 - 1 Nice Home

Jan 2024 Metz(A) 0 - 1 Nice Away

Oct 2023 Metz 0 - 1 Nice Away

Jan 2022 Metz 0 - 2 Nice Away

In the last 5 meetings, Metz won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Metz — unbeaten run (home)0

Metz — scoring streak (home)0

Nice — winless run (away)5

Nice — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Metz Win (1)44%

Draw (X)27%

Nice Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 67%

29% +1.5 22%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 33%

71% -1.5 78%

94% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Metz vs Nice — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Metz — scored (home)0.88

Metz — conceded (home)1.88

Nice — scored (away)1

Nice — conceded (away)1.83

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Metz — BTTS matches (home)47%

Nice — BTTS matches (away)61%

Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Metz (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.3

Nice (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Nice

15 11 14 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.583%

Under 1.517%

Over 2.572%

Under 2.528%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Metz (home)

For1.5

Nice (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Metz — total shots (home)11.8

Nice — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Metz — on target (home)3.8

Nice — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Nice

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

T. Moffi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

S. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target3%

I. Jansson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz xG (home)1.03

Nice xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

48.94% Possession 46.69%

Team Comparison Metz vs Nice

85.24% Pass accuracy 81.86%

451.74 Passes per match 418.14

0.07 Goals prevented -0.02

11.38 Fouls committed 12.14

3.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.31

1.5 Offsides 2

16.71 Tackles per match 15.83

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Metz vs Nice prediction analysis

Review Metz vs Nice with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights