What markets are included in the Metz vs Reims prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Metz vs Reims prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Metz vs Reims

Metz vs Reims prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-21 18:00

Metz

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

36%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Reims

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

30%

31%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Metz (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Reims (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.28

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Metz

WDDLL

Reims

LDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 56%

37% +1.5 28%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Metz averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Reims averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

30%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Metz(A) 3 - 1 Reims Home

May 2025 Metz 1 - 1 Reims Draw

Mar 2024 Metz(A) 1 - 2 Reims Away

Sep 2023 Metz 2 - 2 Reims Draw

Jan 2022 Metz(A) 1 - 0 Reims Home

In the last 5 meetings, Metz won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Metz — unbeaten run (home)2

Metz — scoring streak (home)2

Reims — winless run (away)4

Reims — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Metz Win (1)40%

Draw (X)30%

Reims Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 56%

37% +1.5 28%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 44%

63% -1.5 72%

95% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Metz vs Reims — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Metz — scored (home)1.05

Metz — conceded (home)1.58

Reims — scored (away)0.94

Reims — conceded (away)1.28

Model expected combined goals2.12

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Metz — BTTS matches (home)58%

Reims — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)51%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Metz (home)

Corners for3.9

Corners against4.8

Reims (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Metz

11 7 18 12 10

Reims

8 9 13 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Metz (home)

For1.9

Reims (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Metz — total shots (home)10.9

Reims — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Metz — on target (home)3.5

Reims — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Metz

Inside the box5.94

Outside the box3.75

Reims

Inside the box7.61

Outside the box4.14

Player Shots Metz

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target32%

D. Lamkel Zé

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

K. Van Den Kerkhof

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Jallow

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target5%

Fali Candé

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Reims

A. Tia

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

E. Agbadou

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

V. Atangana Edoa

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target6%

Keito Nakamura

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target24%

M. Munetsi

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz xG (home)1

Reims xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

35.31% Possession 43.69%

Team Comparison Metz vs Reims

74.89% Pass accuracy 80.39%

314.25 Passes per match 388.28

0.7 Goals prevented 0.31

12.36 Fouls committed 11.75

4 Goalkeeper saves 3.83

1.38 Offsides 1.74

17.82 Tackles per match 16.58

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Metz vs Reims prediction analysis

Review Metz vs Reims with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights