Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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USL Championship 2026-08-08 23:00
Miami FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Miami FC
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Las Vegas Lights
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Miami FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate61%

Las Vegas Lights (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Miami FC
LLWDW
Las Vegas Lights
WWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 47%
39% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Miami FC averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Las Vegas Lights averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Sep 2025 Miami FC(A) 0 - 0 Las Vegas Lights Draw
Jun 2024 Miami FC(A) 1 - 3 Las Vegas Lights Away
Apr 2023 Miami FC 4 - 1 Las Vegas Lights Home
Oct 2022 Miami FC(A) 2 - 3 Las Vegas Lights Away

In the last 4 meetings, Miami FC won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Miami FC — unbeaten run (home)0
Miami FC — scoring streak (home)4
Las Vegas Lights — winless run (away)0
Las Vegas Lights — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Miami FC Win (1)56%
Draw (X)23%
Las Vegas Lights Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 47%
39% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 53%
61% -1.5 82%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Miami FC — scored (home)1.17
Miami FC — conceded (home)1.44
Las Vegas Lights — scored (away)0.71
Las Vegas Lights — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Miami FC — BTTS matches (home)61%
Las Vegas Lights — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)48%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Miami FC (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Las Vegas Lights (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Miami FC (home)

For—

Las Vegas Lights (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Miami FC — total shots (home)—
Las Vegas Lights — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Miami FC — on target (home)—
Las Vegas Lights — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Miami FC

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Las Vegas Lights

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights prediction and preview

Preview Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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