Prediction Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Blackburn
Middlesbrough vs Blackburn prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Championship
2025-12-26
15:00
Middlesbrough
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Blackburn
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
28%
2
30%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Middlesbrough (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate46%
Blackburn (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate39%
Team Form last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
LLDDW
Blackburn
LWDLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
61%
38%
+1.5
26%
17%
+2.5
13%
13%
+3.5
0%
4%
+4.5
0%
46%
BTTS
39%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
Middlesbrough averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Blackburn averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Middlesbrough(A)
0 - 0
Blackburn
Draw
Dec 2025
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Blackburn
Draw
Apr 2025
Middlesbrough(A)
2 - 0
Blackburn
Home
Jan 2025
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn
Away
Nov 2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Middlesbrough won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Middlesbrough — unbeaten run (home)3
Middlesbrough — scoring streak (home)0
Blackburn — winless run (away)0
Blackburn — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Middlesbrough Win (1)42%
Draw (X)28%
Blackburn Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
61%
38%
+1.5
26%
17%
+2.5
13%
13%
+3.5
0%
4%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
39%
62%
-1.5
74%
83%
-2.5
87%
87%
-3.5
100%
96%
-4.5
100%
Middlesbrough vs Blackburn — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Middlesbrough — scored (home)1.42
Middlesbrough — conceded (home)0.75
Blackburn — scored (away)1
Blackburn — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.35
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Middlesbrough — BTTS matches (home)46%
Blackburn — BTTS matches (away)39%
Combined (simple average)42.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Middlesbrough (home)
Corners for7.8
Corners against4.3
Blackburn (away)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Middlesbrough
9
9
12
16
4
Blackburn
7
11
6
6
20
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Middlesbrough (home)
For1.1
Blackburn (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Middlesbrough — total shots (home)17.3
Blackburn — total shots (away)11.4
Shots on Target
Middlesbrough — on target (home)5.2
Blackburn — on target (away)3.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Middlesbrough
Inside the box10.41
Outside the box5.82
Blackburn
Inside the box7.76
Outside the box3.74
Player Shots Middlesbrough
M. Whittaker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Leo Castledine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Conway
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Hackney
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Blackburn
M. Litherland
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Ohashi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Guðjohnsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Cantwell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Morishita
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough xG (home)1.5
Blackburn xG (away)1.2
Average Possession
59.43%
Possession
47.91%
Team Comparison Middlesbrough vs Blackburn
84.08%
Pass accuracy
73.83%
516.84
Passes per match
382.02
-0.17
Goals prevented
0.07
9.33
Fouls committed
10.54
2.22
Goalkeeper saves
2.62
1.89
Offsides
1.89
15.45
Tackles per match
17.46
League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Middlesbrough vs Blackburn prediction analysis
Review Middlesbrough vs Blackburn with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights