Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough vs Hull City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-29 19:45
Middlesbrough
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hull City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
33%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Middlesbrough (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate46%

Hull City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.54
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Middlesbrough
LLDDW
Hull City
WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 88%
38% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
13% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
46% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Middlesbrough averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Hull City averages 1.54 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Middlesbrough(A) 0 - 1 Hull City Away
Dec 2025 Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Hull City Away
Dec 2025 Middlesbrough(A) 4 - 1 Hull City Home
Jan 2025 Middlesbrough(A) 1 - 0 Hull City Home
Nov 2024 Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Hull City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Middlesbrough won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Middlesbrough — unbeaten run (home)3
Middlesbrough — scoring streak (home)0
Hull City — winless run (away)0
Hull City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Middlesbrough Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
Hull City Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 88%
38% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
13% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 12%
62% -1.5 46%
83% -2.5 87%
87% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Middlesbrough vs Hull City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Middlesbrough — scored (home)1.42
Middlesbrough — conceded (home)0.75
Hull City — scored (away)1.54
Hull City — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals2.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Middlesbrough — BTTS matches (home)46%
Hull City — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.581%
Under 8.519%
Over 9.577%
Under 9.523%
Over 10.567%
Under 10.533%
Expected total corners (blended average)12.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Middlesbrough (home)

Corners for7.8
Corners against4.3

Hull City (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Middlesbrough
9 9 12 16 4
Hull City
16 8 5 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Middlesbrough (home)

For1.1

Hull City (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Middlesbrough — total shots (home)17.3
Hull City — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Middlesbrough — on target (home)5.2
Hull City — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Middlesbrough

Inside the box10.41
Outside the box5.82

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Middlesbrough

M. Whittaker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Leo Castledine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Conway
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Hackney
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Middlesbrough xG (home)1.5
Hull City xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

59.43% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Middlesbrough vs Hull City

84.08% Pass accuracy 72.02%
516.84 Passes per match 351.37
-0.17 Goals prevented 0.13
9.33 Fouls committed 11.16
2.22 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.89 Offsides 1.73
15.45 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Middlesbrough vs Hull City prediction analysis

Review Middlesbrough vs Hull City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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