Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Lincoln

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-15 14:00
Middlesbrough
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Lincoln
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
27%
2
26%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Middlesbrough (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate46%

Lincoln (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Middlesbrough
LLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 0%
38% +1.5 0%
17% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
46% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Middlesbrough averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Lincoln averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
27%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Middlesbrough — unbeaten run (home)3
Middlesbrough — scoring streak (home)0

1X2 Probability model

Middlesbrough Win (1)47%
Draw (X)27%
Lincoln Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 0%
38% +1.5 0%
17% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 100%
62% -1.5 100%
83% -2.5 100%
87% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Middlesbrough — scored (home)1.42
Middlesbrough — conceded (home)0.75
Lincoln — scored (away)0
Lincoln — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Middlesbrough — BTTS matches (home)46%
Lincoln — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)23%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Middlesbrough (home)

Corners for7.8
Corners against4.3

Lincoln (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Middlesbrough
9 9 12 16 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.546%
Under 0.554%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.527%
Under 2.573%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Middlesbrough (home)

For1.1

Lincoln (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.08

Middlesbrough

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.69
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.64

Lincoln

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.40
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.38

Shots per Game

Middlesbrough — total shots (home)17.3
Lincoln — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Middlesbrough — on target (home)5.2
Lincoln — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Middlesbrough

Inside the box10.41
Outside the box5.82

Lincoln

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Middlesbrough

M. Whittaker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Leo Castledine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Conway
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Hackney
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Lincoln

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Middlesbrough xG (home)1.5
Lincoln xG (away)-

Average Possession

59.43% Possession -%

Team Comparison Middlesbrough vs Lincoln

84.08% Pass accuracy 0%
516.84 Passes per match -
-0.17 Goals prevented -
9.33 Fouls committed -
2.22 Goalkeeper saves -
1.89 Offsides -
15.45 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln prediction analysis

Review Middlesbrough vs Lincoln with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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