Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Millonarios vs Chico

Millonarios vs Chico prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-25 21:00
Millonarios
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
25%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Chico
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
27%
2
9%
Under 2.5
75%
BTTS No
79%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Millonarios (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate39%

Chico (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millonarios
WDDWD
Chico
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 45%
43% +1.5 15%
17% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
39% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Millonarios averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Chico averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
27%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Yes
21%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Millonarios(A) 2 - 1 Chico Home
May 2025 Millonarios 4 - 2 Chico Home

In the last 2 meetings, Millonarios won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Millonarios — unbeaten run (home)7
Millonarios — scoring streak (home)0
Chico — winless run (away)1
Chico — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millonarios Win (1)64%
Draw (X)27%
Chico Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 45%
43% +1.5 15%
17% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 55%
57% -1.5 85%
83% -2.5 100%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Millonarios vs Chico — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millonarios — scored (home)1.35
Millonarios — conceded (home)0.78
Chico — scored (away)0.6
Chico — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals1.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes21%
No79%

Rate per Team

Millonarios — BTTS matches (home)39%
Chico — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millonarios (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.4

Chico (away)

Corners for2.3
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2
Chico
5 4 7 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Millonarios (home)

For2.8

Chico (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Millonarios — total shots (home)16.5
Chico — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Millonarios — on target (home)4.7
Chico — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millonarios xG (home)1.14
Chico xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

51.83% Possession 47.6%

Team Comparison Millonarios vs Chico

80.8% Pass accuracy 77.73%
372.59 Passes per match 328.68
0 Goals prevented 0
11.65 Fouls committed 11.03
2.78 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.8 Offsides 1.68
13.87 Tackles per match 10.13

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millonarios vs Chico prediction analysis

Review Millonarios vs Chico with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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