What markets are included in the Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima

Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-03-02 22:30

Millonarios

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Deportes Tolima

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

29%

31%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Millonarios (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate39%

Deportes Tolima (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.04

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millonarios

WDDWD

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 74%

43% +1.5 33%

17% +2.5 15%

4% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

39% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Millonarios averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

29%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Millonarios(A) 1 - 3 Deportes Tolima Away

Mar 2025 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportes Tolima Home

In the last 2 meetings, Millonarios won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Millonarios — unbeaten run (home)7

Millonarios — scoring streak (home)0

Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2

Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millonarios Win (1)40%

Draw (X)29%

Deportes Tolima Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 74%

43% +1.5 33%

17% +2.5 15%

4% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 26%

57% -1.5 67%

83% -2.5 85%

96% -3.5 96%

100% -4.5 100%

Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millonarios — scored (home)1.35

Millonarios — conceded (home)0.78

Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26

Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Millonarios — BTTS matches (home)39%

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)41.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.548%

Under 8.552%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.531%

Under 10.569%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millonarios (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against3.4

Deportes Tolima (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millonarios

10 6 14 6 2

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.581%

Under 2.519%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Millonarios (home)

For2.8

Deportes Tolima (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Millonarios — total shots (home)16.5

Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Millonarios — on target (home)4.7

Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box6.74

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

J. Cabezas

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

D. Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

R. Falcao

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Castro

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target26%

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millonarios xG (home)1.14

Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

51.83% Possession 53.69%

Team Comparison Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima

80.8% Pass accuracy 81.54%

372.59 Passes per match 409.22

0 Goals prevented 0

11.65 Fouls committed 10.46

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.8 Offsides 1.42

13.87 Tackles per match 11.89

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis

Review Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights