Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-08-09 00:30
Millonarios
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
32%
2
20%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Millonarios (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate39%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millonarios
WDDWD
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 45%
43% +1.5 20%
17% +2.5 15%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
39% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Millonarios averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
32%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
31%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Millonarios 3 - 3 Deportivo Cali Draw
Feb 2025 Millonarios(A) 1 - 3 Deportivo Cali Away

In the last 2 meetings, Millonarios won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Millonarios — unbeaten run (home)7
Millonarios — scoring streak (home)0
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millonarios Win (1)49%
Draw (X)32%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 45%
43% +1.5 20%
17% +2.5 15%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 55%
57% -1.5 80%
83% -2.5 85%
96% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millonarios — scored (home)1.35
Millonarios — conceded (home)0.78
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals1.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%
No69%

Rate per Team

Millonarios — BTTS matches (home)39%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millonarios (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.4

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Millonarios (home)

For2.8

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Millonarios — total shots (home)16.5
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Millonarios — on target (home)4.7
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millonarios xG (home)1.14
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

51.83% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali

80.8% Pass accuracy 78%
372.59 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
11.65 Fouls committed 13.64
2.78 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.8 Offsides 1.97
13.87 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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