What markets are included in the Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-11 00:30

Millonarios

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

31%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Deportivo Pasto

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

29%

20%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS No

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Millonarios (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate39%

Deportivo Pasto (Away)

Goals scored / match0.55

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millonarios

WDDWD

Deportivo Pasto

WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 45%

43% +1.5 10%

17% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

39% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Millonarios averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pasto averages 0.55 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

29%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

31%

BTTS Yes

35%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Home

Feb 2025 Millonarios(A) 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Home

In the last 2 meetings, Millonarios won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Millonarios — unbeaten run (home)7

Millonarios — scoring streak (home)0

Deportivo Pasto — winless run (away)17

Deportivo Pasto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millonarios Win (1)51%

Draw (X)29%

Deportivo Pasto Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 45%

43% +1.5 10%

17% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 55%

57% -1.5 90%

83% -2.5 100%

96% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millonarios — scored (home)1.35

Millonarios — conceded (home)0.78

Deportivo Pasto — scored (away)0.55

Deportivo Pasto — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals1.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%

No65%

Rate per Team

Millonarios — BTTS matches (home)39%

Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.558%

Under 7.542%

Over 8.549%

Under 8.551%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millonarios (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against3.4

Deportivo Pasto (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millonarios

10 6 14 6 2

Deportivo Pasto

7 16 11 5 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Millonarios (home)

For2.8

Deportivo Pasto (away)

For3.7

Shots per Game

Millonarios — total shots (home)16.5

Deportivo Pasto — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Millonarios — on target (home)4.7

Deportivo Pasto — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box6.74

Deportivo Pasto

Inside the box5.88

Outside the box5.6

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

J. Cabezas

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

D. Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

R. Falcao

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Castro

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target26%

Player Shots Deportivo Pasto

Y. Valois

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target56%

F. Boné

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Camacho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Rivas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millonarios xG (home)1.14

Deportivo Pasto xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

51.83% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto

80.8% Pass accuracy 78.88%

372.59 Passes per match 317.15

0 Goals prevented 0

11.65 Fouls committed 13.58

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.8 Offsides 1.58

13.87 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto prediction analysis

Review Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights