Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Millonarios vs Once Caldas

Millonarios vs Once Caldas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-30 01:20
Millonarios
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Once Caldas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
28%
2
20%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Millonarios (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate39%

Once Caldas (Away)

Goals scored / match0.64
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millonarios
WDDWD
Once Caldas
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 50%
43% +1.5 14%
17% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
39% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Millonarios averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Once Caldas averages 0.64 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
28%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Millonarios 0 - 0 Once Caldas Draw
Jun 2025 Millonarios 2 - 2 Once Caldas Draw
Jun 2025 Millonarios(A) 0 - 0 Once Caldas Draw
May 2025 Millonarios(A) 2 - 2 Once Caldas Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Millonarios won 0, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Millonarios — unbeaten run (home)7
Millonarios — scoring streak (home)0
Once Caldas — winless run (away)3
Once Caldas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millonarios Win (1)52%
Draw (X)28%
Once Caldas Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 50%
43% +1.5 14%
17% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 50%
57% -1.5 86%
83% -2.5 100%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Millonarios vs Once Caldas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millonarios — scored (home)1.35
Millonarios — conceded (home)0.78
Once Caldas — scored (away)0.64
Once Caldas — conceded (away)1.23
Model expected combined goals2.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Millonarios — BTTS matches (home)39%
Once Caldas — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millonarios (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.4

Once Caldas (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2
Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Millonarios (home)

For2.8

Once Caldas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Millonarios — total shots (home)16.5
Once Caldas — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Millonarios — on target (home)4.7
Once Caldas — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millonarios xG (home)1.14
Once Caldas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

51.83% Possession 49.73%

Team Comparison Millonarios vs Once Caldas

80.8% Pass accuracy 81.02%
372.59 Passes per match 358.62
0 Goals prevented 0
11.65 Fouls committed 11.36
2.78 Goalkeeper saves 3.64
1.8 Offsides 2.43
13.87 Tackles per match 12.47

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millonarios vs Once Caldas prediction analysis

Review Millonarios vs Once Caldas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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