Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Millwall vs Hull City

Millwall vs Hull City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-13 15:00
Millwall
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hull City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
25%
2
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Millwall (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate38%

Hull City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.54
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millwall
LDWDW
Hull City
WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 88%
38% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Millwall averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Hull City averages 1.54 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Millwall 0 - 2 Hull City Away
May 2026 Millwall(A) 0 - 0 Hull City Draw
Mar 2026 Millwall(A) 3 - 1 Hull City Home
Dec 2025 Millwall 1 - 3 Hull City Away
Jan 2025 Millwall 0 - 1 Hull City Away

In the last 5 meetings, Millwall won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Millwall — unbeaten run (home)0
Millwall — scoring streak (home)0
Hull City — winless run (away)0
Hull City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millwall Win (1)39%
Draw (X)25%
Hull City Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 88%
38% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 12%
62% -1.5 46%
83% -2.5 87%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Millwall vs Hull City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millwall — scored (home)1.38
Millwall — conceded (home)1.13
Hull City — scored (away)1.54
Hull City — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Millwall — BTTS matches (home)38%
Hull City — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.571%
Under 9.529%
Over 10.561%
Under 10.539%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millwall (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against5.0

Hull City (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millwall
12 14 15 5 14
Hull City
16 8 5 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Millwall (home)

For1.3

Hull City (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Millwall — total shots (home)13.5
Hull City — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Millwall — on target (home)4.6
Hull City — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millwall

Inside the box8.81
Outside the box4.13

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Millwall

O. Azeez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Coburn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Ballo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Emakhu
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millwall xG (home)1.36
Hull City xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Millwall vs Hull City

70.42% Pass accuracy 72.02%
348.19 Passes per match 351.37
0.08 Goals prevented 0.13
12.52 Fouls committed 11.16
2.73 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
2.22 Offsides 1.73
15.75 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millwall vs Hull City prediction analysis

Review Millwall vs Hull City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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