Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Millwall vs Ipswich

Millwall vs Ipswich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-12-26 13:00
Millwall
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Ipswich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
25%
2
43%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Millwall (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate38%

Ipswich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.61
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millwall
LDWDW
Ipswich
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 83%
38% +1.5 52%
17% +2.5 17%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Millwall averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Ipswich averages 1.61 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
25%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Millwall(A) 1 - 1 Ipswich Draw
Dec 2025 Millwall 0 - 0 Ipswich Draw
Feb 2024 Millwall 0 - 4 Ipswich Away
Nov 2023 Millwall(A) 1 - 3 Ipswich Away

In the last 4 meetings, Millwall won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Millwall — unbeaten run (home)0
Millwall — scoring streak (home)0
Ipswich — winless run (away)2
Ipswich — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millwall Win (1)32%
Draw (X)25%
Ipswich Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 83%
38% +1.5 52%
17% +2.5 17%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 17%
62% -1.5 48%
83% -2.5 83%
96% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 100%

Millwall vs Ipswich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millwall — scored (home)1.38
Millwall — conceded (home)1.13
Ipswich — scored (away)1.61
Ipswich — conceded (away)1.3
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Millwall — BTTS matches (home)38%
Ipswich — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)49.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millwall (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against5.0

Ipswich (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millwall
12 14 15 5 14
Ipswich
9 5 8 14 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Millwall (home)

For1.3

Ipswich (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Millwall — total shots (home)13.5
Ipswich — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

Millwall — on target (home)4.6
Ipswich — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millwall

Inside the box8.81
Outside the box4.13

Ipswich

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.98

Player Shots Millwall

O. Azeez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Coburn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Ballo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Emakhu
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
G. Hirst
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iván Azón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Clarke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millwall xG (home)1.36
Ipswich xG (away)1.71

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 56.07%

Team Comparison Millwall vs Ipswich

70.42% Pass accuracy 80.78%
348.19 Passes per match 439.63
0.08 Goals prevented -0.01
12.52 Fouls committed 11.17
2.73 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
2.22 Offsides 2.04
15.75 Tackles per match 12.78

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millwall vs Ipswich prediction analysis

Review Millwall vs Ipswich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top