Prediction Analysis: Millwall vs Norwich
Millwall vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Championship
2026-08-22
11:30
Millwall
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away
Prediction Summary
1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Millwall (Home)
Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate38%
Norwich (Away)
Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
Millwall
LDWDW
Norwich
LDWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
87%
38%
+1.5
43%
17%
+2.5
13%
4%
+3.5
9%
0%
+4.5
4%
38%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.
Millwall averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Millwall
1 - 2
Norwich
Away
Aug 2025
Millwall(A)
2 - 1
Norwich
Home
Apr 2025
Millwall
3 - 1
Norwich
Home
Dec 2024
Millwall(A)
1 - 2
Norwich
Away
Dec 2023
Millwall
1 - 0
Norwich
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Millwall won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Millwall — unbeaten run (home)0
Millwall — scoring streak (home)0
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Millwall Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Norwich Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
87%
38%
+1.5
43%
17%
+2.5
13%
4%
+3.5
9%
0%
+4.5
4%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
13%
62%
-1.5
57%
83%
-2.5
87%
96%
-3.5
91%
100%
-4.5
96%
Millwall vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Millwall — scored (home)1.38
Millwall — conceded (home)1.13
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.64
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Millwall — BTTS matches (home)38%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)51.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Millwall (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against5.0
Norwich (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Millwall
12
14
15
5
14
Norwich
14
12
7
7
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Millwall (home)
For1.3
Norwich (away)
For2.3
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots24.01
Millwall
Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.26
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34
Norwich
Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.75
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.75
Shots per Game
Millwall — total shots (home)13.5
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
Millwall — on target (home)4.6
Norwich — on target (away)4.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Millwall
Inside the box8.81
Outside the box4.13
Norwich
Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57
Player Shots Millwall
O. Azeez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Coburn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Ballo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Emakhu
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Norwich
M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Millwall xG (home)1.36
Norwich xG (away)1.32
Average Possession
47.63%
Possession
53.63%
Team Comparison Millwall vs Norwich
70.42%
Pass accuracy
79.24%
348.19
Passes per match
435.28
0.08
Goals prevented
0.13
12.52
Fouls committed
10.2
2.73
Goalkeeper saves
2.61
2.22
Offsides
1.93
15.75
Tackles per match
16.72
League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Millwall vs Norwich prediction analysis
Review Millwall vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights