What markets are included in the Millwall vs Southampton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Millwall vs Southampton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall vs Southampton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-29 15:00

Millwall

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Southampton

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

25%

40%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Millwall (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38

Goals conceded / match1.13

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate38%

Southampton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.83

Goals conceded / match1.54

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Millwall

LDWDW

Southampton

WDWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 92%

38% +1.5 50%

17% +2.5 21%

4% +3.5 13%

0% +4.5 8%

38% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Millwall averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Southampton averages 1.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

25%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Millwall(A) 0 - 0 Southampton Draw

Nov 2025 Millwall 3 - 2 Southampton Home

Feb 2024 Millwall(A) 2 - 1 Southampton Home

Nov 2023 Millwall 0 - 1 Southampton Away

In the last 4 meetings, Millwall won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Millwall — unbeaten run (home)0

Millwall — scoring streak (home)0

Southampton — winless run (away)1

Southampton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Millwall Win (1)35%

Draw (X)25%

Southampton Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 92%

38% +1.5 50%

17% +2.5 21%

4% +3.5 13%

0% +4.5 8%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 8%

62% -1.5 50%

83% -2.5 79%

96% -3.5 87%

100% -4.5 92%

Millwall vs Southampton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Millwall — scored (home)1.38

Millwall — conceded (home)1.13

Southampton — scored (away)1.83

Southampton — conceded (away)1.54

Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Millwall — BTTS matches (home)38%

Southampton — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.596%

Under 5.54%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.552%

Under 10.548%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Millwall (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against5.0

Southampton (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Millwall

12 14 15 5 14

Southampton

10 14 15 12 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Millwall (home)

For1.3

Southampton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Millwall — total shots (home)13.5

Southampton — total shots (away)13.1

Shots on Target

Millwall — on target (home)4.6

Southampton — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Millwall

Inside the box8.81

Outside the box4.13

Southampton

Inside the box9.77

Outside the box4.67

Player Shots Millwall

O. Azeez

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target22%

M. Ivanović

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Coburn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

T. Ballo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Emakhu

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Southampton

A. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target48%

Léo Scienza

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target26%

C. Larin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Azaz

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

R. Stewart

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Millwall xG (home)1.36

Southampton xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 56.31%

Team Comparison Millwall vs Southampton

70.42% Pass accuracy 83.17%

348.19 Passes per match 479.94

0.08 Goals prevented -0.06

12.52 Fouls committed 11.02

2.73 Goalkeeper saves 2.52

2.22 Offsides 1.87

15.75 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Millwall vs Southampton prediction analysis

Review Millwall vs Southampton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights