Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-26 00:30
Minnesota United FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Minnesota United FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate53%

Vancouver Whitecaps (Away)

Goals scored / match1.52
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Minnesota United FC
LLDLD
Vancouver Whitecaps
LLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 43%
32% +2.5 29%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Minnesota United FC averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Vancouver Whitecaps averages 1.52 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Minnesota United FC(A) 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps Draw
Apr 2025 Minnesota United FC 1 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps Away
Oct 2024 Minnesota United FC(A) 1 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps Home
Jul 2024 Minnesota United FC 1 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps Away
May 2023 Minnesota United FC(A) 2 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps Away

In the last 5 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Minnesota United FC — unbeaten run (home)3
Minnesota United FC — scoring streak (home)1
Vancouver Whitecaps — winless run (away)2
Vancouver Whitecaps — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Minnesota United FC Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 43%
32% +2.5 29%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 24%
53% -1.5 57%
68% -2.5 71%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Minnesota United FC — scored (home)1.68
Minnesota United FC — conceded (home)1.21
Vancouver Whitecaps — scored (away)1.52
Vancouver Whitecaps — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Minnesota United FC — BTTS matches (home)53%
Vancouver Whitecaps — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Minnesota United FC (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.7

Vancouver Whitecaps (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Minnesota United FC
11 5 9 6 6
Vancouver Whitecaps
10 20 6 2 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Minnesota United FC (home)

For2.2

Vancouver Whitecaps (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.81

Minnesota United FC

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.41
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.86

Vancouver Whitecaps

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.40
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.15

Shots per Game

Minnesota United FC — total shots (home)12.8
Vancouver Whitecaps — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Minnesota United FC — on target (home)5.3
Vancouver Whitecaps — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Minnesota United FC

Inside the box8.18
Outside the box3.63

Vancouver Whitecaps

Inside the box10.28
Outside the box4

Player Shots Minnesota United FC

T. Oluwaseyi
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target29%
H. Dotson
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Trapp
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Yeboah
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Pereyra
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Vancouver Whitecaps

T. Müller
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
R. Gauld
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. White
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Sabbi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Veselinović
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Minnesota United FC xG (home)1.34
Vancouver Whitecaps xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

38.84% Possession 53.9%

Team Comparison Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

77.48% Pass accuracy 86.33%
342.71 Passes per match 481.38
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.05
13.26 Fouls committed 14
3.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.51
1.76 Offsides 1.24
15.71 Tackles per match 15.2

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction analysis

Review Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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