What markets are included in the Mirassol vs Ceara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Mirassol vs Ceara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Mirassol vs Ceara

Mirassol vs Ceara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-11-24 22:00

Mirassol

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Ceara

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

25%

19%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Mirassol (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate68%

Ceara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mirassol

DWLWD

Ceara

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 53%

68% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mirassol averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Ceara averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Mirassol 3 - 0 Ceara Home

Jul 2025 Mirassol(A) 2 - 0 Ceara Home

Aug 2024 Mirassol(A) 2 - 1 Ceara Home

Apr 2024 Mirassol 3 - 2 Ceara Home

Nov 2023 Mirassol(A) 0 - 2 Ceara Away

In the last 5 meetings, Mirassol won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mirassol — unbeaten run (home)19

Mirassol — scoring streak (home)3

Ceara — winless run (away)2

Ceara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mirassol Win (1)55%

Draw (X)25%

Ceara Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 53%

68% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 47%

32% -1.5 79%

58% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Mirassol vs Ceara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mirassol — scored (home)2.21

Mirassol — conceded (home)0.89

Ceara — scored (away)0.74

Ceara — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Mirassol — BTTS matches (home)68%

Ceara — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mirassol (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against5.1

Ceara (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Mirassol (home)

For2.1

Ceara (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Mirassol — total shots (home)14.5

Ceara — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Mirassol — on target (home)5.8

Ceara — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mirassol xG (home)1.49

Ceara xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

50.89% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Mirassol vs Ceara

83.97% Pass accuracy 79.03%

422.24 Passes per match 330.84

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.17

12.18 Fouls committed 13.61

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

1.84 Offsides 2.42

15.13 Tackles per match 15.84

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mirassol vs Ceara prediction analysis

Review Mirassol vs Ceara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights