What markets are included in the Mirassol vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Mirassol vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Mirassol vs Cruzeiro

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-18 23:00

Mirassol

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

27%

31%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Mirassol (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate68%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mirassol

DWLWD

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mirassol averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

27%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Mirassol 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Draw

Mar 2025 Mirassol(A) 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away

In the last 2 meetings, Mirassol won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mirassol — unbeaten run (home)19

Mirassol — scoring streak (home)3

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mirassol Win (1)42%

Draw (X)27%

Cruzeiro Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%

32% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mirassol — scored (home)2.21

Mirassol — conceded (home)0.89

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Mirassol — BTTS matches (home)68%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.584%

Under 8.516%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mirassol (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against5.1

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Mirassol (home)

For2.1

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Mirassol — total shots (home)14.5

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Mirassol — on target (home)5.8

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mirassol xG (home)1.49

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

50.89% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Mirassol vs Cruzeiro

83.97% Pass accuracy 81.05%

422.24 Passes per match 363.13

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.12

12.18 Fouls committed 13.66

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.84 Offsides 1.5

15.13 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Mirassol vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights