Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mirassol vs Juventude

Mirassol vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-21 19:00
Mirassol
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
77%
X
15%
2
8%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Mirassol (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate68%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mirassol
DWLWD
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 53%
68% +1.5 16%
42% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is High.

Mirassol averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
77%
Draw
15%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 4

Sep 2025 Mirassol 2 - 0 Juventude Home
Apr 2025 Mirassol(A) 2 - 2 Juventude Draw
Aug 2023 Mirassol 0 - 1 Juventude Away
May 2023 Mirassol(A) 1 - 0 Juventude Home

In the last 4 meetings, Mirassol won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mirassol — unbeaten run (home)19
Mirassol — scoring streak (home)3
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mirassol Win (1)77%
Draw (X)15%
Juventude Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 53%
68% +1.5 16%
42% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 47%
32% -1.5 84%
58% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Mirassol vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mirassol — scored (home)2.21
Mirassol — conceded (home)0.89
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals3.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Mirassol — BTTS matches (home)68%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mirassol (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.1

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mirassol
12 18 12 11 5
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Mirassol (home)

For2.1

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Mirassol — total shots (home)14.5
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Mirassol — on target (home)5.8
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box5.16

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Renato Marques
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Gabriel
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target12%
Cristian
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mirassol xG (home)1.49
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

50.89% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Mirassol vs Juventude

83.97% Pass accuracy 80.89%
422.24 Passes per match 339
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.18
12.18 Fouls committed 15.89
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.84 Offsides 1.86
15.13 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mirassol vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Mirassol vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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